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Measuring impact of observed climate change on wheat production in India

Student name: Ms Richika Rana
Guide: Dr Shantanu De Roy
Year of completion: 2017
Host Organisation: TERI University

Abstract: Using district level panel data of 113 leading wheat producing districts across 36 years, impact of climate observed climate change trends (temperature and rainfall) is assessed. Findings reveal that a unit increase in temperature would reduce wheat yield by 0.0389 ton per hectare, which would continue to decrease with an increase in temperature. While use of technology, irrigation and fertilizer as an input would have significant positive impact on wheat yield. In order for wheat crop to adapt to future climate change introduction of technology along with better irrigation facilities and access to fertilizers in crop production is necessary.