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Announcement
Decarbonizing India: study on the potential for electrification across India’s key sectors & assessment of electricity needs

Student name: Ms Merlyn Mathew
Guide: Dr Ranjana Ray Chaudhuri
Year of completion: 2024
Host Organisation: BDO India LLP
Supervisor (Host Organisation): Mr Sahil Garg
Abstract:

This study examines the potential of electrification across key Indian sectors such as Industry, Agriculture, Transport, and Building & Appliances, to achieve the nation's 2070 net-zero emissions target. Two complementary electrification pathways are evaluated: direct electrification, where fossil fuel-based processes are replaced with electricity, and indirect electrification, where renewable fuels like green hydrogen or methanol are utilized for residual thermal energy requirements. The analysis incorporates emerging technologies like green hydrogen and other sustainable alternate fuels to facilitate this transition. A comprehensive framework is proposed, integrating technological advancements, economic considerations, and critical policy dimensions. A user-interactive model was developed to assess crucial parameters including power requirements (GW), renewable energy needs (GW), energy consumption (Mtoe), greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction potential, and green hydrogen demands. Scenarios ranging from conservative to ambitious were modeled for the years 2030, 2050, and 2070. Findings suggest that direct electrification could achieve significant emission reductions of approximately 56%. Additionally, energy efficiency improvements could contribute to reductions of around 37%. Indirect electrification with clean fuels can address the remaining thermal energy needs. Key results for each timeframe (2030, 2050, and 2070) include: sectoral energy consumption (Mtoe), sectoral GHG emission intensity (million tonnes), sectoral electrification potential (%), and required electricity generation capacity (GW).

Key Words: Electrification Pathways, Decarbonization, Net-Zero Emissions, Renewable Energy Integration, Green Hydrogen.